Event· May 10, 2025

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Montreal, Quebec, CanadaCompleted eventSlate pending0 of 12 bouts with a model read

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 7:12 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Light Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Ivan Erslan

Div #50P4P #65536M 1-3-0

Win vs Tuco Tokkos • U-DEC • May 16, 2026

Fighter B

Navajo Stirling

Winner

Div #7P4P #7136M 7-0-0

Win vs Jan Blachowicz • KO/TKO • Aug 1, 2026

7-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Navajo Stirling

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Light Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Ion Cutelaba

Div #23P4P #30836M 3-3-0

Loss vs Navajo Stirling • KO/TKO • Jun 20, 2026

Fighter B

Modestas Bukauskas

Winner

Div #15P4P #14536M 6-2-0

Win vs Oumar Sy • KO/TKO • Sep 5, 2026

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Modestas Bukauskas

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Bruno Silva

Div #71P4P #60836M 0-4-0

Loss vs Marc-Andre Barriault • KO/TKO • May 10, 2025

5-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Marc-Andre Barriault

Winner

Div #43P4P #36336M 2-5-0

Win vs Kyle Daukaus • KO/TKO • Oct 17, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Marc-Andre Barriault

KO/TKO • R1 • 1:27

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Welterweight

pending

Fighter A

Charles Radtke

Div #40P4P #31036M 4-2-0

Win vs Francisco Prado • U-DEC • Apr 11, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Mike Malott

Winner

Div #8P4P #4136M 5-1-0

Win vs Joaquin Buckley • KO/TKO • Oct 17, 2026

5-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mike Malott

KO/TKO • R2 • 0:26

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Benoit Saint Denis

Winner

Div #7P4P #5136M 5-3-0

Loss vs Paddy Pimblett • SUB • Jul 11, 2026

Fighter B

Kyle Prepolec

Div #104P4P #73036M 0-3-0

Loss vs Mateusz Rebecki • KO/TKO • Aug 1, 2026

5-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Benoit Saint Denis

SUB • R2 • 2:35

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Daniel Santos

Winner

Div #36P4P #28436M 2-1-0

Loss vs Dooho Choi • KO/TKO • May 16, 2026

Fighter B

JeongYeong Lee

Div #62P4P #48436M 1-2-0

Loss vs Daniel Santos • U-DEC • May 10, 2025

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Daniel Santos

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Aiemann Zahabi

Winner

Div #9P4P #6336M 4-1-0

Loss vs Sean O'Malley • KO/TKO • Jun 14, 2026

Fighter B

Jose Aldo

Div #22P4P #20836M 1-2-0

Loss vs Aiemann Zahabi • U-DEC • May 10, 2025

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Aiemann Zahabi

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Bekzat Almakhan

Winner

Div #71P4P #60136M 1-3-0

Loss vs Jean Matsumoto • U-DEC • Jun 27, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Brad Katona

Div #77P4P #63736M 1-3-0

Loss vs Bekzat Almakhan • KO/TKO • May 10, 2025

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Bekzat Almakhan

KO/TKO • R1 • 1:04

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Alexa Grasso

Div #5P4P #8236M 2-2-0

Win vs Manon Fiorot • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 12, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Natalia Silva

Winner

Div #2P4P #2736M 5-0-0

Win vs Wang Cong • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026

9-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Natalia Silva

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Winner

Div #3P4P #4936M 7-1-0

Win vs Erin Blanchfield • U-DEC • Oct 17, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Jessica Andrade

Div #11P4P #26036M 2-3-0

Loss vs Loopy Godinez • U-DEC • Aug 16, 2025

3-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Jasmine Jasudavicius

SUB • R1 • 2:40

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Women's Flyweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Manon Fiorot

Div #7P4P #10936M 2-2-0

Loss vs Alexa Grasso • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 12, 2026

Fighter B

Valentina Shevchenko

Winner

Div #1P4P #1836M 3-0-0

Win vs Zhang Weili • U-DEC • Nov 15, 2025

3-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Valentina Shevchenko

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

12Welterweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Belal Muhammad

Div #14P4P #7936M 1-3-0

Loss vs Gabriel Bonfim • U-DEC • Jun 6, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Jack Della Maddalena

Winner

Div #9P4P #4636M 2-2-0

Loss vs Carlos Prates • KO/TKO • May 2, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Jack Della Maddalena

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.