Calibrated fight forecasting

The calibrated prediction layer for honest pre-fight reads.

Calibrated probabilities, volatility-aware reads, and bout-by-bout reasoning presented as analytical guidance rather than certainty theater.

Forecast coverage and confidence should be read as analytical guidance, not certainty. Some cards may be partially covered while refresh jobs complete.

membershipsCalibrated output layerVolatility + uncertainty framework
product standard
What this surface is for
  • Calibrated bout probabilities instead of generic pick content
  • Confidence, volatility, and uncertainty shown together so weak spots are visible
  • Card-level coverage status shown honestly as full, partial, or pending
featured event

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Sep 5, 2026Paris, Ile-de-France, France14 of 14 matchup cards currently live
Open premium event page
upcoming cards

Prediction hub

Governed calibrated output status
full slate14 bouts

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

14 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Sep 5, 2026Paris, Ile-de-France, France
14 of 14 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
14 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate12 bouts

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado

12 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Sep 12, 2026Glendale, Arizona, USA
12 of 12 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
12 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate13 bouts

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

11 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Sep 19, 2026Los Angeles, California, USA
13 of 13 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
13 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate11 bouts

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

11 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Sep 26, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
11 of 11 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
11 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate7 bouts

UFC 332

6 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Oct 3, 2026Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
7 of 7 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
7 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate10 bouts

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

10 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Oct 17, 2026Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
10 of 10 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
10 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate8 bouts

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

8 bouts carry explicit risk flags

Oct 24, 2026Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
8 of 8 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
8 bouts flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate1 bouts

UFC Fight Night

1 bout carry explicit risk flags

Oct 31, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
1 of 1 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
1 bout flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions
full slate1 bouts

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

1 bout carry explicit risk flags

Nov 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
1 of 1 bouts currently carrying governed prediction outputs
1 bout flagged with elevated uncertainty metadata
View predictions