Event· Aug 16, 2025

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Chicago, Illinois, USACompleted eventSlate pending0 of 12 bouts with a model read3 without a read (UFC debut)

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 6:53 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Gerald Meerschaert

Div #31P4P #42036M 2-6-0

Loss vs Julius Walker • KO/TKO • Oct 10, 2026

6-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Winner

Div #33P4P #22936M 3-4-0

Loss vs Abus Magomedov • SUB • Jun 27, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Michal Oleksiejczuk

KO/TKO • R1 • 3:03

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Middleweight

no read

Baisangur Susurkaev

Winner

Div #35P4P #24236M 4-0-0

Win vs Djorden Santos • SUB • May 9, 2026

4-fight win streak

Eric Nolan

Div #75P4P #64036M 1-2-0

Win vs Court McGee • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

Official result: Baisangur Susurkaev

SUB • R2 • 2:01

No read on this bout

Eric Nolan has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

03Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Jared Cannonier

Div #24P4P #19636M 1-4-0

Loss vs Christian Leroy Duncan • U-DEC • Jul 18, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Michael Page

Winner

Div #6P4P #3236M 5-1-0

Win vs Nursulton Ruziboev • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 5, 2026

4-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Michael Page

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Welterweight

pending

Fighter A

Carlos Prates

Winner

Div #2P4P #936M 7-1-0

Win vs Jack Della Maddalena • KO/TKO • May 2, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Geoff Neal

Div #33P4P #23036M 1-3-0

Loss vs Uros Medic • KO/TKO • Feb 21, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Carlos Prates

KO/TKO • R1 • 4:59

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Alexander Hernandez

Winner

Fighter B

Chase Hooper

Div #38P4P #26136M 5-2-0

Win vs Mitch Ramirez • SUB • Jul 18, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Alexander Hernandez

KO/TKO • R1 • 4:58

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Drakkar Klose

Winner

Fighter B

Edson Barboza

Div #53P4P #37836M 0-4-0

Loss vs Esteban Ribovics • KO/TKO • Aug 15, 2026

4-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Drakkar Klose

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Featherweight

no read

Aaron Pico

Div #58P4P #43336M 1-1-0

Win vs Patricio Pitbull • U-DEC • Apr 11, 2026

Lerone Murphy

Winner

Div #6P4P #4436M 4-1-0

Loss vs Movsar Evloev • M-DEC • Mar 21, 2026

Official result: Lerone Murphy

KO/TKO • R1 • 3:21

No read on this bout

Aaron Pico has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

08Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Kai Asakura

Div #53P4P #46036M 2-2-0

Win vs Aoriqileng • KO/TKO • Aug 29, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Tim Elliott

Winner

Div #19P4P #28636M 3-2-0

Win vs Edgar Chairez • U-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Tim Elliott

SUB • R2 • 4:39

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Dione Barbosa

Div #15P4P #29736M 4-2-0

Win vs Anna Melisano • SUB • Jul 18, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Karine Silva

Winner

Div #17P4P #30936M 2-3-0

Loss vs Jasmine Jasudavicius • U-DEC • Apr 18, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Karine Silva

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Women's Strawweight

pending

Fighter A

Jessica Andrade

Fighter B

Loopy Godinez

Winner

Div #7P4P #18736M 4-3-0

Win vs Ketlen Souza • U-DEC • Oct 10, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Loopy Godinez

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Middleweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Dricus Du Plessis

Div #1P4P #236M 4-1-0

Win vs Kamaru Usman • U-DEC • Jul 18, 2026

Fighter B

Khamzat Chimaev

Winner

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Khamzat Chimaev

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

12Ultimate Fighter 33 Flyweight Tournament TitleTitle fight

no read

Alibi Idiris

Div #61P4P #83136M 0-1-0

Result unavailable vs Ode Osbourne • Overturned • Feb 21, 2026

Joseph Morales

Winner

Div #30P4P #42336M 2-1-0

Loss vs Brandon Moreno • S-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

Official result: Joseph Morales

SUB • R2 • 3:04

No read on this bout

Alibi Idiris has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.