Event· Oct 25, 2025

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab EmiratesCompleted eventSlate pending0 of 13 bouts with a model read1 without a read (UFC debut)

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Chris Barnett

Div #50P4P #67036M 0-2-0

Loss vs Hamdy Abdelwahab • U-DEC • Oct 25, 2025

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Hamdy Abdelwahab

Winner

Div #32P4P #43636M 2-1-0

Win vs Chris Barnett • U-DEC • Oct 25, 2025

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Hamdy Abdelwahab

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Alexander Volkov

Winner

Div #3P4P #2836M 3-1-0

Win vs Waldo Cortes Acosta • U-DEC • May 9, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Jailton Almeida

Div #10P4P #10736M 3-3-0

Loss vs Rizvan Kuniev • U-DEC • Feb 7, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Alexander Volkov

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Heavyweight

no read

Louie Sutherland

Div #45P4P #61936M 1-3-0

Loss vs Jose Montanha • SUB • Aug 8, 2026

Valter Walker

Winner

Div #15P4P #18336M 5-1-0

Win vs Thomas Petersen • SUB • Jul 25, 2026

5-fight win streak

Official result: Valter Walker

SUB • R1 • 1:24

No read on this bout

Louie Sutherland has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

04Light Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Aleksandar Rakic

Div #17P4P #18936M 1-3-0

Win vs Marcin Tybura • U-DEC • Aug 1, 2026

Fighter B

Azamat Murzakanov

Winner

Div #10P4P #11236M 3-1-0

Loss vs Paulo Costa • KO/TKO • Apr 11, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Azamat Murzakanov

KO/TKO • R1 • 3:11

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Ikram Aliskerov

Winner

Div #11P4P #6136M 4-1-0

Win vs Brunno Ferreira • U-DEC • Jun 27, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

JunYong Park

Div #32P4P #22736M 2-2-0

Loss vs Ikram Aliskerov • U-DEC • Oct 25, 2025

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ikram Aliskerov

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Nasrat Haqparast

Div #32P4P #19536M 3-2-0

Loss vs Chris Padilla • SUB • Aug 22, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Quillan Salkilld

Winner

Div #5P4P #3036M 7-0-0

Win vs Mateusz Gamrot • SUB • Aug 8, 2026

7-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Quillan Salkilld

KO/TKO • R1 • 2:30

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Ludovit Klein

Winner

Div #30P4P #18636M 4-2-0

Loss vs Tofiq Musayev • KO/TKO • Aug 1, 2026

Fighter B

Mateusz Rebecki

Div #39P4P #26636M 3-4-0

Win vs Kyle Prepolec • KO/TKO • Aug 1, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ludovit Klein

M-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Jose Delgado

Div #16P4P #13536M 5-2-0

Loss vs Jean Silva • SUB • Sep 12, 2026

Fighter B

Nathaniel Wood

Winner

Div #19P4P #17236M 4-2-0

Loss vs Pavel Andrusca • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 5, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Nathaniel Wood

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Mario Bautista

Div #4P4P #3436M 5-1-0

Win vs Cory Sandhagen • U-DEC • Jul 11, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Umar Nurmagomedov

Winner

Div #6P4P #4236M 4-2-0

Loss vs Song Yadong • KO/TKO • Aug 29, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Umar Nurmagomedov

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Azat Maksum

Div #52P4P #71636M 0-3-0

Loss vs Mitch Raposo • U-DEC • Oct 25, 2025

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Mitch Raposo

Winner

Div #38P4P #51936M 2-2-0

Win vs Allan Nascimento • S-DEC • Jun 20, 2026

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mitch Raposo

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Women's Strawweight

pending

Fighter A

Jaqueline Amorim

Div #13P4P #26836M 4-1-0

Win vs Loma Lookboonmee • SUB • May 30, 2026

Fighter B

Mizuki

Winner

Div #16P4P #29436M 1-0-0

Win vs Jaqueline Amorim • U-DEC • Oct 25, 2025

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mizuki

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

12Heavyweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Ciryl Gane

Div #2P4P #1136M 2-0-0

Win vs Alex Pereira • KO/TKO • Jun 14, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Tom Aspinall

Div #4P4P #3736M 2-0-0

No Contest vs Ciryl Gane • CNC • Oct 25, 2025

3-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result

CNC • R1 • 4:35

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

13Women's Strawweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Mackenzie Dern

Winner

Div #3P4P #10436M 4-2-0

Win vs Gillian Robertson • Decision - Unanimous • Aug 15, 2026

4-fight win streak

Fighter B

Virna Jandiroba

Div #2P4P #9636M 4-1-0

Win vs Tabatha Ricci • U-DEC • Apr 4, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mackenzie Dern

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.