Event· Dec 6, 2025

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Las Vegas, Nevada, USACompleted eventSlate pending0 of 14 bouts with a model read

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Light Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Bogdan Guskov

Div #13P4P #14136M 4-1-1

Loss vs Magomed Ankalaev • KO/TKO • Jul 25, 2026

Fighter B

Jan Blachowicz

Div #18P4P #27036M 0-2-1

Loss vs Navajo Stirling • KO/TKO • Aug 1, 2026

3-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result

M-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Light Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Ibo Aslan

Div #44P4P #58836M 2-3-0

Loss vs Iwo Baraniewski • KO/TKO • Dec 6, 2025

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Iwo Baraniewski

Winner

Div #24P4P #31136M 4-1-0

Loss vs Alonzo Menifield • Decision - Split • Sep 19, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Iwo Baraniewski

KO/TKO • R1 • 1:29

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Brunno Ferreira

Winner

Div #20P4P #17136M 5-4-0

Loss vs Edmen Shahbazyan • U-DEC • Sep 19, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Marvin Vettori

Div #47P4P #37036M 0-4-0

Loss vs Ismail Naurdiev • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026

5-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Brunno Ferreira

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Antonio Trocoli

Div #79P4P #72436M 0-4-0

Loss vs Mantas Kondratavicius • U-DEC • Mar 21, 2026

4-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Mansur Abdul-Malik

Winner

Div #50P4P #39436M 4-2-1

Loss vs Dustin Stoltzfus • Submission • Aug 15, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mansur Abdul-Malik

SUB • R1 • 1:09

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Fares Ziam

Winner

Div #28P4P #18136M 4-2-0

Loss vs Axel Sola • KO/TKO • Sep 5, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Nazim Sadykhov

Div #50P4P #35136M 2-2-1

Loss vs Matheus Camilo • KO/TKO • Jun 27, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Fares Ziam

KO/TKO • R2 • 4:59

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Edson Barboza

Div #53P4P #37836M 0-4-0

Loss vs Esteban Ribovics • KO/TKO • Aug 15, 2026

4-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Jalin Turner

Winner

Div #20P4P #15236M 3-2-0

Win vs Kaue Fernandes • KO/TKO • Aug 15, 2026

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Jalin Turner

KO/TKO • R1 • 2:24

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Chris Duncan

Winner

Div #23P4P #15936M 4-2-0

Loss vs Renato Moicano • SUB • Apr 4, 2026

Fighter B

Terrance McKinney

Div #45P4P #29236M 3-3-0

Loss vs King Green • KO/TKO • Jul 11, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Chris Duncan

SUB • R1 • 2:30

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Grant Dawson

Div #9P4P #7236M 4-1-0

Win vs Mateusz Rebecki • SUB • May 9, 2026

Fighter B

Manuel Torres

Winner

Div #21P4P #15536M 3-2-0

Loss vs Rafael Fiziev • KO/TKO • Jun 27, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Manuel Torres

KO/TKO • R1 • 2:25

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Mairon Santos

Winner

Div #15P4P #12736M 4-0-0

Win vs Muhammad Naimov • KO/TKO • Dec 6, 2025

4-fight win streak

Fighter B

Muhammad Naimov

Div #44P4P #35236M 4-3-0

Loss vs Losene Keita • KO/TKO • Sep 5, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mairon Santos

KO/TKO • R3 • 0:21

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Henry Cejudo

Div #34P4P #31536M 0-3-0

Loss vs Payton Talbott • U-DEC • Dec 6, 2025

4-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Payton Talbott

Winner

Div #10P4P #6736M 6-1-0

Win vs Deiveson Figueiredo • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

3-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Payton Talbott

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Brandon Moreno

Div #7P4P #14236M 3-3-0

Win vs Joseph Morales • S-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

Fighter B

Tatsuro Taira

Winner

Div #4P4P #8436M 4-2-0

Loss vs Joshua Van • KO/TKO • May 9, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Tatsuro Taira

KO/TKO • R2 • 2:24

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

12Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Karine Silva

Div #17P4P #30936M 2-3-0

Loss vs Jasmine Jasudavicius • U-DEC • Apr 18, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Maycee Barber

Winner

Div #10P4P #14436M 2-1-0

Loss vs Alexa Grasso • KO/TKO • Mar 28, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Maycee Barber

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

13Bantamweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Merab Dvalishvili

Div #1P4P #336M 5-1-0

Loss vs Petr Yan • U-DEC • Dec 6, 2025

Fighter B

Petr Yan

Winner

Div #2P4P #1236M 4-0-0

Win vs Merab Dvalishvili • U-DEC • Dec 6, 2025

4-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Petr Yan

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

14Flyweight TitleTitle fight

pending

Fighter A

Alexandre Pantoja

Div #3P4P #8336M 4-2-0

Loss vs Joshua Van • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 19, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Joshua Van

Winner

Div #1P4P #1736M 10-1-0

Win vs Alexandre Pantoja • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 19, 2026

8-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Joshua Van

KO/TKO • R1 • 0:26

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.