Event· Apr 5, 2025

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Las Vegas, Nevada, USACompleted eventSlate pending0 of 12 bouts with a model read1 without a read (UFC debut)

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 6:52 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Heavyweight

no read

Martin Buday

Winner

Div #21P4P #23936M 3-1-0

Win vs Marcus Buchecha • U-DEC • Jul 26, 2025

3-fight win streak

Uran Satybaldiev

Div #43P4P #58736M 1-1-0

Win vs Diyar Nurgozhay • SUB • Aug 23, 2025

Official result: Martin Buday

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

No read on this bout

Uran Satybaldiev has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

02Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Brad Tavares

Winner

Div #54P4P #44236M 1-4-0

Loss vs Eryk Anders • U-DEC • Mar 14, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Gerald Meerschaert

Div #31P4P #42036M 2-6-0

Loss vs Julius Walker • KO/TKO • Oct 10, 2026

6-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Brad Tavares

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Robert Valentin

Div #62P4P #54936M 2-3-0

Win vs Dusko Todorovic • SUB • Aug 1, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Torrez Finney

Winner

Div #51P4P #39536M 3-1-0

Loss vs Jacob Malkoun • U-DEC • Jan 31, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Torrez Finney

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Welterweight

pending

Fighter A

Daniel Frunza

Div #81P4P #69736M 1-2-0

Loss vs Charles Radtke • SUB • Nov 1, 2025

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Rhys McKee

Winner

Div #79P4P #68136M 1-2-0

Loss vs Axel Sola • KO/TKO • Sep 6, 2025

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Rhys McKee

KO/TKO • R1 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Josh Emmett

Div #25P4P #22536M 1-3-0

Loss vs Kevin Vallejos • KO/TKO • Mar 14, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Lerone Murphy

Winner

Div #6P4P #4436M 4-1-0

Loss vs Movsar Evloev • M-DEC • Mar 21, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Lerone Murphy

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Joanderson Brito

Div #14P4P #10236M 5-2-0

Win vs Giga Chikadze • KO/TKO • Sep 19, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Pat Sabatini

Winner

Div #7P4P #6836M 4-1-0

Win vs William Gomis • U-DEC • May 9, 2026

4-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Pat Sabatini

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Pedro Falcao

36M 0-2-0

Loss vs Victor Henry • U-DEC • Apr 5, 2025

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Victor Henry

Winner

36M 2-1-0

Win vs Pedro Falcao • U-DEC • Apr 5, 2025

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Victor Henry

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

ChangHo Lee

Winner

Div #56P4P #46536M 2-1-0

Loss vs Timmy Cuamba • U-DEC • Nov 1, 2025

Fighter B

Cortavious Romious

36M 1-2-0

Loss vs ChangHo Lee • KO/TKO • Apr 5, 2025

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: ChangHo Lee

KO/TKO • R2 • 3:48

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Luis Gurule

Div #65P4P #55836M 2-4-0

Loss vs Rei Tsuruya • SUB • May 30, 2026

Fighter B

Ode Osbourne

Winner

Div #42P4P #55436M 1-3-0

Result unavailable vs Alibi Idiris • Overturned • Feb 21, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ode Osbourne

KO/TKO • R2 • 1:54

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Diana Belbita

36M 0-2-0

Loss vs Dione Barbosa • SUB • Apr 5, 2025

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Dione Barbosa

Winner

Div #15P4P #29736M 4-2-0

Win vs Anna Melisano • SUB • Jul 18, 2026

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Dione Barbosa

SUB • R1 • 4:13

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Women's Strawweight

pending

Fighter A

Talita Alencar

Winner

Div #17P4P #30036M 4-1-0

Win vs Julia Polastri • U-DEC • Apr 25, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Vanessa Demopoulos

Div #39P4P #61036M 1-4-0

Loss vs Yazmin Jauregui • KO/TKO • Sep 26, 2026

4-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Talita Alencar

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

12Women's Strawweight

pending

Fighter A

Istela Nunes

36M 0-1-0

Loss vs Loma Lookboonmee • U-DEC • Apr 5, 2025

5-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Loma Lookboonmee

Winner

Div #30P4P #48136M 2-2-0

Loss vs Jaqueline Amorim • SUB • May 30, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Loma Lookboonmee

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.