All events
Event· Oct 3, 2026

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Salt Lake City, Utah, USACompleted eventPartial slate live11 of 15 bouts with a model read4 without a read (UFC debut)Published Sep 29, 2026 · 3d before the card
Receipt
Read first published
Sep 29, 2026
Lead time
3 days before the card
Read last refreshed
Never
Card last checked
Oct 16, 2026, 10:03 AM UTC
Card vs read
In sync

Shown unedited since first publication.

Bouts
15
Model reads
11
Partial slate live
Toss-ups
0
Within half a point of 50/50
Completed
14
Official results recorded
Scored receipt
Model 6 of 10

Every bout with a published read, scored against the official result. One card is a small sample; the running record is what counts.

BoutModelWinner
Natalia Silva vs Wang CongNatalia Silva64%RightNatalia Silva
Payton Talbott vs Deiveson FigueiredoPayton Talbott76%RightPayton Talbott
Esteban Ribovics vs King GreenEsteban Ribovics60%RightEsteban Ribovics
Ateba Gautier vs Roman KopylovAteba Gautier75%WrongRoman Kopylov
Alden Coria vs Imanol RodriguezAlden Coria55%WrongImanol Rodriguez
Andrey Pulyaev vs Damian PinasDamian Pinas63%RightDamian Pinas
Mick Parkin vs Johnny WalkerMick Parkin58%WrongJohnny Walker
Alexander Hernandez vs Rafael Dos AnjosAlexander Hernandez54%RightAlexander Hernandez
Ismail Naurdiev vs Marvin VettoriIsmail Naurdiev53%RightIsmail Naurdiev
Court McGee vs Eric NolanCourt McGee53%WrongEric Nolan
Partial governed prediction coverage
11 of 15 bouts currently have governed model outputs. 4 bouts still render as unavailable until refresh completes.
01Women's Flyweight TitleTitle fight
medium
Fighter A
Natalia Silva
Winner
lean
Div #2P4P #2736M 5-0-0
Win vs Wang Cong • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026
9-fight win streak
vs
Fighter B
Wang Cong
Div #9P4P #13036M 6-2-0
Loss vs Natalia Silva • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026
64%
36%
model leanNatalia Silva

64% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Natalia Silva
U-DEC • R5 • 5:00
why the model leans this way

Natalia Silva projects ahead at 63.7%.

  • Natalia Silva has the edge on age
  • Natalia Silva has the edge on proven rating
  • Natalia Silva has the edge on the head-to-head rating matchup
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
02Bantamweight
high
Fighter A
Payton Talbott
Winner
lean
Div #10P4P #6736M 6-1-0
Win vs Deiveson Figueiredo • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
3-fight win streak
vs
Fighter B
Deiveson Figueiredo
Div #11P4P #7036M 4-5-0
Loss vs Payton Talbott • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
3-fight losing streak
76%
24%
model leanPayton Talbott

76% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Payton Talbott
KO/TKO • R1 • 2:09
why the model leans this way

Payton Talbott projects ahead at 75.7%.

  • Payton Talbott has the edge on age
  • Payton Talbott has the edge on age in the lighter divisions
  • Payton Talbott has the edge on recent form
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 1 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.
03Lightweight
medium
Fighter A
Esteban Ribovics
Winner
lean
Div #13P4P #9436M 5-2-0
Win vs King Green • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight win streak
vs
Fighter B
King Green
Div #15P4P #11736M 5-4-0
Loss vs Esteban Ribovics • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
60%
40%
model leanEsteban Ribovics

60% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Esteban Ribovics
KO/TKO • R1 • 4:08
why the model leans this way

Esteban Ribovics projects ahead at 59.8%.

  • Esteban Ribovics has the edge on age
  • Esteban Ribovics has the edge on knockout losses on the record
  • Esteban Ribovics has the edge on experience in this division
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
04Welterweight
no read
Khaos Williams
Div #50P4P #34336M 2-3-0
Loss vs Roberto Soldic • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026
vs
Roberto Soldic
Winner
Div #47P4P #32836M 1-0-0
Win vs Khaos Williams • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026
Official result: Roberto Soldic
U-DEC • R3 • 5:00
No read on this bout

Roberto Soldic has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

05Middleweight
high
Fighter A
Ateba Gautier
lean
Div #31P4P #22636M 6-1-0
Loss vs Roman Kopylov • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
vs
Fighter B
Roman Kopylov
Winner
Div #18P4P #13236M 4-3-0
Win vs Ateba Gautier • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight win streak
75%
25%
model leanAteba Gautier

75% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO • R1 • 3:12
why the model leans this way

Ateba Gautier projects ahead at 75.0%.

  • Ateba Gautier has the edge on age
  • Ateba Gautier has the edge on recent form
  • Ateba Gautier has the edge on reach
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 1 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.
06Flyweight
low
Fighter A
Alden Coria
lean
Div #26P4P #39936M 3-1-0
Loss vs Imanol Rodriguez • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
vs
Fighter B
Imanol Rodriguez
Winner
Div #14P4P #24336M 3-0-0
Win vs Alden Coria • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
3-fight win streak
55%
45%
model leanAlden Coria

55% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Imanol Rodriguez
KO/TKO • R1 • 3:11
why the model leans this way

Alden Coria projects ahead at 54.6%.

  • Alden Coria has the edge on striking offense
  • Alden Coria has the edge on wrestling offense
  • Alden Coria has the edge on knockdown rate
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 1 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.
07Middleweight
medium
Fighter A
Andrey Pulyaev
Div #58P4P #49736M 2-4-0
Loss vs Damian Pinas • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
3-fight losing streak
vs
Fighter B
Damian Pinas
Winner
lean
Div #25P4P #19836M 4-0-0
Win vs Andrey Pulyaev • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
4-fight win streak
37%
63%
model leanDamian Pinas

63% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Damian Pinas
KO/TKO • R1 • 1:15
why the model leans this way

Damian Pinas projects ahead at 63.2%.

  • Damian Pinas has the edge on age
  • Damian Pinas has the edge on the head-to-head rating matchup
  • Damian Pinas has the edge on proven rating
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
08Featherweight
no read
Anthony Romero
Div #92P4P #69536M 0-1-0
Loss vs Marcus McGhee • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
vs
Marcus McGhee
Winner
Div #19P4P #16536M 4-1-0
Win vs Anthony Romero • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight win streak
Official result: Marcus McGhee
KO/TKO • R1 • 4:58
No read on this bout

Anthony Romero has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

09Bantamweight
low
Fighter A
Benardo Sopaj
lean
Div #52P4P #45436M 2-1-0
Win vs Timmy Cuamba • SUB • May 16, 2026
2-fight win streak
vs
Fighter B
Marcus McGhee
Div #19P4P #16536M 4-1-0
Win vs Anthony Romero • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight win streak
54%
46%
model leanBenardo Sopaj

54% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
why the model leans this way

Benardo Sopaj projects ahead at 53.8%.

  • Benardo Sopaj has the edge on age
  • Benardo Sopaj has the edge on age in the lighter divisions
  • Benardo Sopaj has the edge on wrestling offense
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
10Heavyweight
no read
Anthony Wint
Winner
Div #25P4P #32736M 3-0-0
Win vs Lucas Armand • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
3-fight win streak
vs
Lucas Armand
Div #53P4P #71036M 0-1-0
Loss vs Anthony Wint • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
Official result: Anthony Wint
KO/TKO • R1 • 0:23
No read on this bout

Lucas Armand has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

11Heavyweight
guarded
Fighter A
Mick Parkin
lean
Div #22P4P #24836M 3-2-0
Loss vs Johnny Walker • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight losing streak
vs
Fighter B
Johnny Walker
Winner
Div #13P4P #14636M 2-3-0
Win vs Mick Parkin • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
58%
42%
model leanMick Parkin

58% model win probability for the current lean, but guarded by volatility or weak-regime caveats

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Johnny Walker
KO/TKO • R1 • 3:35
why the model leans this way

Mick Parkin projects ahead at 57.8%.

  • Mick Parkin has the edge on knockout losses on the record
  • Mick Parkin has the edge on age
  • Mick Parkin has the edge on time established in this division
Risk flags
  • Mick Parkin long layoff
  • Johnny Walker division debut
  • Johnny Walker moving up in weight
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 2 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.
12Welterweight
no read
Bruce Whitehead
Div #80P4P #69436M 0-1-0
Loss vs Jacobe Smith • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
vs
Jacobe Smith
Winner
Div #29P4P #15836M 5-0-0
Win vs Bruce Whitehead • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
5-fight win streak
Official result: Jacobe Smith
KO/TKO • R1 • 1:32
No read on this bout

Bruce Whitehead has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.

13Lightweight
guarded
Fighter A
Alexander Hernandez
Winner
lean
Div #16P4P #11836M 5-2-0
Win vs Rafael Dos Anjos • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
vs
Fighter B
Rafael Dos Anjos
Div #49P4P #34836M 0-3-0
Loss vs Alexander Hernandez • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
4-fight losing streak
54%
46%
model leanAlexander Hernandez

54% model win probability for the current lean, but guarded by volatility or weak-regime caveats

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Alexander Hernandez
KO/TKO • R2 • 3:12
why the model leans this way

Alexander Hernandez projects ahead at 54.2%.

  • Alexander Hernandez has the edge on age
  • Alexander Hernandez has the edge on cage time
Risk flags
  • Rafael Dos Anjos long layoff
  • Rafael Dos Anjos moving down in weight
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 1 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.
14Middleweight
low
Fighter A
Ismail Naurdiev
Winner
lean
Div #28P4P #20936M 3-1-0
Win vs Marvin Vettori • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight win streak
vs
Fighter B
Marvin Vettori
Div #47P4P #37036M 0-4-0
Loss vs Ismail Naurdiev • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026
5-fight losing streak
53%
47%
model leanIsmail Naurdiev

53% model win probability for the current lean

Read published Sep 29, 2026
Official result: Ismail Naurdiev
U-DEC • R3 • 5:00
why the model leans this way

Ismail Naurdiev projects ahead at 52.9%.

  • Ismail Naurdiev has the edge on damage absorbed
  • Ismail Naurdiev has the edge on strikes absorbed per minute
  • Ismail Naurdiev has the edge on age
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 1 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.
15Welterweight
guarded
Fighter A
Court McGee
lean
Div #68P4P #54436M 1-3-0
Loss vs Eric Nolan • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
2-fight losing streak
vs
Fighter B
Eric Nolan
Winner
Div #75P4P #64036M 1-2-0
Win vs Court McGee • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026
53%
47%
model leanCourt McGee

53% model win probability for the current lean, but guarded by volatility or weak-regime caveats

Read published Oct 2, 2026 · revision 2
  • Earlier read (rev 1, Sep 29, 2026): Court McGee 52% vs Eric Nolan 48%; superseded Oct 2, 2026 because the model re-ran.
Official result: Eric Nolan
KO/TKO • R3 • 3:26
why the model leans this way

Court McGee projects ahead at 53.1%.

  • Court McGee has the edge on proven rating
  • Court McGee has the edge on the head-to-head rating matchup
  • Court McGee has the edge on overall rating
Risk flags
  • Court McGee long layoff
Uncertainty / caveats
  • Winner-only read: this model does not call the method, the round, or whether the fight goes the distance.
  • Incomplete inputs: 2 of 56 measured comparisons were unavailable for this matchup, so the read rests on fewer signals than a fully covered bout.