Event· Mar 1, 2025

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Las Vegas, Nevada, USACompleted eventSlate pending0 of 10 bouts with a model read

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Austen Lane

Div #49P4P #63936M 1-4-0

Loss vs Iwo Baraniewski • KO/TKO • Mar 21, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Mario Pinto

Winner

Div #12P4P #12536M 5-0-0

Win vs Ryan Spann • KO/TKO • Sep 5, 2026

5-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Mario Pinto

KO/TKO • R2 • 0:39

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Cody Brundage

Winner

Div #44P4P #36636M 3-4-1

Win vs Andre Petroski • KO/TKO • May 16, 2026

Fighter B

Julian Marquez

36M 0-2-0

Loss vs Cody Brundage • KO/TKO • Mar 1, 2025

4-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Cody Brundage

KO/TKO • R1 • 4:45

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Welterweight

pending

Fighter A

Danny Barlow

Div #68P4P #59336M 2-2-0

Loss vs Djorden Santos • U-DEC • Oct 18, 2025

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Sam Patterson

Winner

Div #23P4P #13436M 5-1-0

Win vs Santiago Ponzinibbio • KO/TKO • Jul 25, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Sam Patterson

KO/TKO • R1 • 3:10

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Esteban Ribovics

Div #13P4P #9436M 5-2-0

Win vs King Green • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Nasrat Haqparast

Winner

Div #32P4P #19536M 3-2-0

Loss vs Chris Padilla • SUB • Aug 22, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Nasrat Haqparast

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Hyder Amil

Winner

Div #46P4P #38036M 3-3-0

Loss vs Christian Rodriguez • SUB • Jun 20, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

William Gomis

Div #30P4P #25536M 2-2-0

Loss vs Pat Sabatini • U-DEC • May 9, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Hyder Amil

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Danny Silva

Winner

Div #37P4P #29536M 3-1-0

Win vs Kurtis Campbell • KO/TKO • Mar 21, 2026

Fighter B

Lucas Almeida

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Danny Silva

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Chepe Mariscal

Winner

Div #18P4P #16836M 3-1-0

Loss vs Pat Sabatini • U-DEC • Nov 15, 2025

Fighter B

Ricardo Ramos

Div #71P4P #54336M 1-3-0

Loss vs Kaan Ofli • SUB • Oct 11, 2025

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Chepe Mariscal

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Charles Johnson

Div #9P4P #16336M 7-4-0

Win vs Eduardo Chapolin • SUB • Aug 15, 2026

Fighter B

Ramazan Temirov

Winner

Div #10P4P #16436M 3-0-0

Win vs Steve Erceg • KO/TKO • Jul 25, 2026

3-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ramazan Temirov

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Asu Almabayev

Div #5P4P #8936M 6-1-0

Win vs Charles Johnson • SUB • Jun 27, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Manel Kape

Winner

Div #2P4P #6036M 4-1-0

Win vs Kyoji Horiguchi • KO/TKO • Jun 20, 2026

4-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Manel Kape

KO/TKO • R3 • 2:16

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Andrea Lee

36M 0-3-0

Loss vs JJ Aldrich • U-DEC • Mar 1, 2025

6-fight losing streak

Fighter B

JJ Aldrich

Winner

Div #21P4P #37236M 2-2-0

Loss vs Regina Tarin • U-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: JJ Aldrich

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.