Event· Feb 28, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Mexico City, Distrito Federal, MexicoCompleted eventSlate pending0 of 13 bouts with a model read1 without a read (UFC debut)

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Apr 25, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Jose Daniel Medina

Div #81P4P #74636M 0-4-0

Loss vs Ryan Gandra • KO/TKO • Feb 28, 2026

5-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Ryan Gandra

Winner

Div #37P4P #28236M 4-0-0

Win vs Ozzy Diaz • KO/TKO • Sep 19, 2026

4-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ryan Gandra

KO/TKO • R1 • 0:41

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Damian Pinas

Winner

Div #25P4P #19836M 4-0-0

Win vs Andrey Pulyaev • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

4-fight win streak

Fighter B

Wes Schultz

Div #70P4P #60536M 2-3-0

Loss vs Jackson McVey • KO/TKO • Aug 22, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Damian Pinas

KO/TKO • R1 • 2:30

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Lightweight

pending

Fighter A

Daniel Zellhuber

Div #72P4P #48736M 1-3-0

Loss vs King Green • KO/TKO • Feb 28, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

King Green

Winner

Div #15P4P #11736M 5-4-0

Loss vs Esteban Ribovics • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: King Green

KO/TKO • R2 • 4:55

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Erik Silva

Div #91P4P #69136M 0-2-0

Loss vs Francis Marshall • SUB • Feb 28, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Francis Marshall

Winner

Div #58P4P #40736M 3-1-0

Win vs Lucas Brennan • U-DEC • Apr 25, 2026

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Francis Marshall

SUB • R1 • 2:29

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Div #77P4P #57536M 0-2-0

Loss vs Javier Reyes • KO/TKO • Feb 28, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Javier Reyes

Winner

Div #54P4P #41136M 2-1-0

Loss vs Kaan Ofli • SUB • Jun 27, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Javier Reyes

KO/TKO • R1 • 4:59

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Cristian Quinonez

Winner

Div #72P4P #60336M 1-1-0

Win vs Kris Moutinho • U-DEC • Feb 28, 2026

Fighter B

Kris Moutinho

Div #94P4P #75036M 0-2-0

Loss vs Cristian Quinonez • U-DEC • Feb 28, 2026

4-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Cristian Quinonez

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

David Martinez

Winner

Div #8P4P #6236M 5-0-0

Win vs Dan Ige • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 12, 2026

5-fight win streak

Fighter B

Marlon Vera

Div #21P4P #17936M 1-4-0

Win vs Charles Jourdain • KO/TKO • Sep 19, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: David Martinez

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Angel Pacheco

Div #103P4P #82536M 0-2-0

Loss vs Santiago Luna • U-DEC • Feb 28, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Santiago Luna

Winner

Div #57P4P #47436M 2-1-0

Loss vs Bryce Mitchell • SUB • Jun 6, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Santiago Luna

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Brandon Moreno

Div #7P4P #14236M 3-3-0

Win vs Joseph Morales • S-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

Fighter B

Lone'er Kavanagh

Winner

Div #17P4P #26936M 4-2-0

Loss vs Brandon Royval • SUB • Jul 11, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Lone'er Kavanagh

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Imanol Rodriguez

Winner

Div #14P4P #24336M 3-0-0

Win vs Alden Coria • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Kevin Borjas

Div #36P4P #48936M 2-5-0

Loss vs Rei Tsuruya • Submission • Aug 29, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Imanol Rodriguez

KO/TKO • R2 • 4:21

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Edgar Chairez

Winner

Div #22P4P #37336M 4-2-0

Loss vs Tim Elliott • U-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

Fighter B

Felipe Bunes

Div #48P4P #64436M 1-3-0

Loss vs Edgar Chairez • S-DEC • Feb 28, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Edgar Chairez

S-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

12Women's Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Ailin Perez

Winner

Div #2P4P #9936M 6-0-0

Win vs Norma Dumont • U-DEC • Sep 26, 2026

7-fight win streak

Fighter B

Macy Chiasson

Div #15P4P #36436M 2-3-0

Loss vs Ailin Perez • U-DEC • Feb 28, 2026

3-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ailin Perez

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

13Catch Weight

no read

Ernesta Kareckaite

Div #29P4P #58136M 1-2-1

Draw vs Melissa Gatto • Decision - Majority • Oct 10, 2026

Regina Tarin

Winner

Div #13P4P #25436M 2-0-0

Win vs JJ Aldrich • U-DEC • Sep 12, 2026

2-fight win streak

Official result: Regina Tarin

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

No read on this bout

Regina Tarin has no UFC history. FightIndex does not predict a debut on no data, so the record only carries reads that had evidence behind them.