Event· Jan 24, 2026

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

The fight card and the model read for every bout, together. Each read shows the probability split, the reasons behind the lean, and the caveats that matter. The model is early-stage and no live track record has been published yet.

Las Vegas, Nevada, USACompleted eventSlate pending0 of 11 bouts with a model read

Receipt

Read first published: —
Lead time: —
Read last refreshed: —
Card last checked: Mar 18, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC
Card vs read: In sync

Bouts

Model reads

Slate pending

Toss-ups

Within half a point of 50/50

Completed

Official results recorded

No governed prediction outputs yet

This event exists, but the model prediction slate is not populated yet. Treat this as pending coverage rather than a hidden low-confidence read.

01Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Denzel Freeman

Div #43P4P #60936M 1-1-0

Loss vs Josh Hokit • KO/TKO • Jan 24, 2026

Fighter B

Josh Hokit

Winner

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Josh Hokit

KO/TKO • R1 • 4:59

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

02Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Derrick Lewis

Div #14P4P #14936M 2-3-0

Loss vs Josh Hokit • KO/TKO • Jun 14, 2026

2-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Winner

Div #5P4P #3836M 7-3-0

Loss vs Curtis Blaydes • Decision - Unanimous • Sep 12, 2026

2-fight losing streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Waldo Cortes Acosta

KO/TKO • R2 • 3:14

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

03Light Heavyweight

pending

Fighter A

Modestas Bukauskas

Div #15P4P #14536M 6-2-0

Win vs Oumar Sy • KO/TKO • Sep 5, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Nikita Krylov

Winner

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Nikita Krylov

KO/TKO • R3 • 4:57

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

04Middleweight

pending

Fighter A

Andrey Pulyaev

Div #58P4P #49736M 2-4-0

Loss vs Damian Pinas • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Ateba Gautier

Winner

Div #31P4P #22636M 6-1-0

Loss vs Roman Kopylov • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Ateba Gautier

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

05Welterweight

pending

Fighter A

TBD

Fighter B

TBD

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result

KO/TKO • R1 • 4:59

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

06Featherweight

pending

Fighter A

Arnold Allen

Div #10P4P #8536M 2-2-0

Win vs Melquizael Costa • U-DEC • May 16, 2026

Fighter B

Jean Silva

Winner

Div #5P4P #3136M 7-1-0

Win vs Jose Delgado • SUB • Sep 12, 2026

2-fight win streak

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Jean Silva

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

07Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Sean O'Malley

Winner

Div #3P4P #3336M 3-2-0

Win vs Aiemann Zahabi • KO/TKO • Jun 14, 2026

2-fight win streak

Fighter B

Song Yadong

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Sean O'Malley

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

08Bantamweight

pending

Fighter A

Deiveson Figueiredo

Div #11P4P #7036M 4-5-0

Loss vs Payton Talbott • KO/TKO • Oct 3, 2026

3-fight losing streak

Fighter B

Umar Nurmagomedov

Winner

Div #6P4P #4236M 4-2-0

Loss vs Song Yadong • KO/TKO • Aug 29, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Umar Nurmagomedov

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

09Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Alex Perez

Winner

Div #20P4P #28836M 2-4-0

Loss vs Sumudaerji • Decision - Unanimous • Aug 29, 2026

Fighter B

Charles Johnson

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Alex Perez

KO/TKO • R1 • 3:16

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

10Women's Flyweight

pending

Fighter A

Natalia Silva

Winner

Div #2P4P #2736M 5-0-0

Win vs Wang Cong • U-DEC • Oct 3, 2026

9-fight win streak

Fighter B

Rose Namajunas

Div #6P4P #10036M 3-2-0

Loss vs Natalia Silva • U-DEC • Jan 24, 2026

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Natalia Silva

U-DEC • R3 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.

11Lightweight Interim TitleInterim title

pending

Fighter A

Justin Gaethje

Winner

Div #2P4P #736M 3-1-0

Win vs Ilia Topuria • KO/TKO • Jun 14, 2026

3-fight win streak

Fighter B

Paddy Pimblett

—

model lean

No lean available

—

model leanNo lean available

Prediction unavailable

Official result: Justin Gaethje

U-DEC • R5 • 5:00

why the model leans this way

No model summary available for this bout yet.

No governed model output is available for this bout yet. Treat the card as incomplete rather than inferring confidence.